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Predicting Meat Production for Saudi Arabia in 2030: Comparison with Five Regional Countries

Ahsan Abdullah 1, Ahmed Bakhashwain 2, Abdullah Basuhail 3, and Atisam Aslam 4
1. Department of Information Technology, King Abdulaziz University, Jeddah, Kingdom of Saudi Arabia
2. Department of Arid Land Agriculture, King Abdulaziz University, Jeddah, Kingdom of Saudi Arabia
3. Department of Computer Science, King Abdulaziz University, Jeddah, Kingdom of Saudi Arabia
4. Department of Information Systems, King Abdulaziz University, Jeddah, Kingdom of Saudi Arabia
Abstract—The rapid growth in demand for animal and animal products has been termed as the livestock revolution. This “revolution” is driven by rising income and changing consumer preferences, particularly among a growing middle class. However, the question is, what would be the situation 15 years from now? Thus, there is a need to predict the agriculture scenario in 2030 with reference to production of fodder and feed vis-à-vis pastures; which is required for meat production. In this paper, we study the impact of agro-meteorological and socio-economic parameters of water scarcity, CO2 fertilization and climatic-change vulnerability in 2030 on pasture yields, and how this effects meat production as reported in the FAO 2011 report. The results for Saudi Arabia are compared with five regional countries i.e. Egypt, Iraq, Jordan, Lebanon and Yemen. The combined impact of the parameters considered had an overall positive impact on Lebanon and Jordan mainly due to CO2 fertilization.
 
Index Terms—prediction, CO2 fertilization, climatic-change vulnerability, water scarcity, data mining, pasture

Cite: Ahsan Abdullah, Ahmed Bakhashwain, Abdullah Basuhail, and Atisam Aslam, "Predicting Meat Production for Saudi Arabia in 2030: Comparison with Five Regional Countries," Journal of Advanced Agricultural Technologies, Vol. 3, No. 3, pp. 186-191, September 2016. Doi: 10.18178/joaat.3.3.186-191
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